2018 hurricane season may see slightly above average activity

Watch out Florida: Forecast predicts active 2018 hurricane season

With eight weeks remaining until the start of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, scientists at Colorado State University (CSU) said they expect slightly-above-average tropical storm activity this year.

This forecast is similar to a one released on Friday by independent forecasting agency AccuWeather, which predicted between 12 and 15 named tropical storms, with six to eight of those forecast to become hurricanes, and with three to five of those forecast to become major hurricanes.

And the upcoming season, which begins on June 1 and runs through November 30, could be active as well.

As for where these storms could go, experts put the chances of a United States coastal landfall of a major hurricane at 63 percent, which is above the last-century average of 52 percent.

Overall, CSU forecasters say, named storms will be active within the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season for a total of 70 days, 30 of which will be hurricane days.

There is a 52% probability of at least one major hurricane tracking into the Caribbean and a 38% probability of a major hurricane making landfall on the Gulf Coast, the forecasters said.




Unusually warm waters in the western tropical Atlantic contributed to the forecast for an above-average season as hurricanes form more easily in warm conditions. The chance of a major hurricane hitting South Carolina's coast this year is only about 5.2 percent, though.

Last year, Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria devastated the U.S. Gulf Coast, Florida and Puerto Rico, respectively.

Why is CSU predicting an uptick in activity?

That would mean there's no El Nino or La Nina but ENSO neutral conditions, which can favor storm development.

The forecast also predicts 14 storms that will be worthy of naming. "Later seasonal forecasts issued in July and August correctly predicted an above-average season but still considerably underestimated just how active the season was going to be".

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center will offer its first hurricane season outlook in May.

Related news:

Hot News

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Fortnite update gets Vending Machines, Weapon changes for Battle Royale
Apr 06, 2018 - 01:47
In the image Epic used as an example (above), players could trade in 500 pieces of wood to purchase a rocket launcher. Going forward, Epic will deliver new content every other week without having to push out an update .

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Police group calls use-of-force bill 'dangerous'
Apr 06, 2018 - 01:45
A controversial proposal that would severely restrict when police officers can open fire was offered Tuesday in California. An independent autopsy found that Clark was shot eight times , and six of those wounds were in his back, according to Dr.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Teachers, supporters journey back to Capitol for day four of teacher walkout
Apr 06, 2018 - 01:45
House officials initially called on state troopers to clear the gallery of protesting teachers but later backed off. Mary Fallin signed legislation awarding Oklahoma's teachers 15 to 18 percent salary increases.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Bangladesh Has No Space to Resettle Rohingya Refugees - Foreign Minister
Apr 05, 2018 - 00:35
Mahmood Ali and Home Minister Asaduzzaman Khan Kamal, foreign ministry officials told BenarNews. While the origin of the Rohingya has not be determined, Krabi police chief Col.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Intel Will Not Patch Spectre And Meltdown In Some Intel Chips
Apr 05, 2018 - 00:34
It is being speculated that the company's decision to produce and deploy its own chips might impact Intel's overall remuneration. Over the top, the 8 Gen Intel Core i9-8950HK processor is optimized to overshoot the performance limits of portable devices.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Prince Philip Confessed to hospital for Operation
Apr 05, 2018 - 00:33
There will be physiotherapy exercises to do at home and crutches are needed for about four to six weeks. He was forced to miss the Easter religious services last week, however, due to the problem with his hip.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top 'Stranger Things' creators sued over show idea
Apr 05, 2018 - 00:33
Kessler said after his idea was turned down, he was shocked when " Stranger Things " was released as Netflix original series. According to TMZ , Kessler was keen to turn the short into a TV series and pitched it to the Duffer Brothers , in 2014.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Julian Edelman might have prevented school shooting
Apr 05, 2018 - 00:31
Edelman said, a reference to the Parkland school shooting that killed 17 at Florida's Stoneman Douglas High School in February. This led to the authorities to calling the local MI police who then went to the residence where the message was posted from.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Seahawks, NFC West on losing end of Brandin Cooks trade to Rams
Apr 05, 2018 - 00:29
Gronkowski has yet to confirm his plans to return to New England , after expressing some uncertainty following Super Bowl LII. In his lone season as a Patriot, the 5-foot-10, 189-pound receiver caught 65 passes for 1,082 yards with seven touchdowns.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top New York Sues Trump Administration Over Citizenship Question
Apr 04, 2018 - 00:51
Schneiderman said he is ready to take the case to the Supreme Court but doubts it will need to go that far. District Court for the Southern District of NY , also includes six cities and the bipartisan U.S.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Sinclair's 'false news' promo, which it made news anchors recite, goes viral
Apr 04, 2018 - 00:46
CNN also detailed the must-run segments earlier in March. (A) But we are human and sometimes our reporting might fall short. Critics have said that the message echoes sentiments from President Donald Trump , who has often bashed the news media.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top West Indies score 153-6 in 3rd Pakistan T20
Apr 04, 2018 - 00:45
Shadab admitted the offence after the match and accepted the sanction proposed by match referee David Boon. And with the Windies bowlers once again inconsistent, Mohammed said containing Pakistan had proven hard .

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Van Dijk Knows How To Stop Salah - But He's Not Telling
Apr 04, 2018 - 00:45
However, Salah has had an outstanding season with Liverpool this season, scoring 29 goals in the Premier League and registering nine assists.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Warmer with rain, possible strong storms tonight
Apr 04, 2018 - 00:44
A strong cold front looks to pass through the area bringing us a good chance for showers and even a few strong to severe storms. The biggest risk with these storms are strong winds above 50 miles per hour and hail the size of quarters or larger.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Winter Storm Alerts Updated
Apr 04, 2018 - 00:43
The heaviest snowfall totals are expected north of Minneapolis and into western Wisconsin through Saturday night. Overall, we should see some pretty big improvements once the heavy stuff stops falling later this afternoon.